Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.008480 0.010047 0.011946 0.014456 0.017748 0.022011 0.028111
2025-03-30 0.006254 0.007992 0.010341 0.013874 0.019293 0.027762 0.043133
2025-04-06 0.005138 0.006885 0.009422 0.013591 0.020763 0.033782 0.063000
2025-04-13 0.004538 0.006321 0.009065 0.013930 0.023221 0.042738 0.097942
2025-04-20 0.004192 0.006043 0.009051 0.014783 0.026932 0.056789 0.168782
2025-04-27 0.003869 0.005737 0.008907 0.015334 0.030281 0.072998 0.292343
2025-05-04 0.003530 0.005345 0.008532 0.015309 0.032308 0.087718 0.479191
2025-05-11 0.003249 0.005010 0.008195 0.015267 0.034302 0.104988 0.831122
2025-05-18 0.002972 0.004646 0.007742 0.014851 0.035092 0.119016 1.378154
2025-05-25 0.002697 0.004256 0.007184 0.014067 0.034466 0.126312 2.053208
2025-06-01 0.002482 0.003953 0.006761 0.013519 0.034402 0.137230 3.467945
2025-06-08 0.002383 0.003855 0.006738 0.013962 0.037960 0.177301 14.074571
2025-06-15 0.002235 0.003666 0.006532 0.013983 0.040479 0.222417 179.281800
2025-06-22 0.002055 0.003401 0.006136 0.013417 0.040508 0.250193 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001919 0.003206 0.005868 0.013146 0.041705 0.298399 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001838 0.003113 0.005809 0.013470 0.045948 0.416427 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001793 0.003087 0.005901 0.014284 0.053576 0.692991 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001734 0.003025 0.005899 0.014810 0.060424 1.135066 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001652 0.002908 0.005746 0.014786 0.064011 1.633343 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001577 0.002798 0.005598 0.014746 0.067643 2.435468 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001493 0.002661 0.005366 0.014349 0.068365 3.181287 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001400 0.002501 0.005057 0.013601 0.065773 3.412672 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001323 0.002371 0.004819 0.013077 0.064749 4.035562 NaN